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Industrial Automatic Control Systems and Controllers

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Mathematical Model of the Subsystem for Analytical Processing of Time-distributed Information Security Incidents
I.D. Korolev, V.I. Popov, V.V. Gaifulin, A.A. Okrachkov

The mathematical model of the subsystem of analytical data processing of the system for detecting, preventing and eliminating the consequences of computer attacks is built and the process of its functioning is described. Based on the theory of automata, a structural model is constructed that provides early detection of information security incidents with a certain degree of probability, as well as detecting information security incidents distributed over time. A graph-scheme of the algorithm is constructed that provides the possibility of practical implementation of the proposed model. The probabilistic indicators of the process of early prediction of the occurrence of an information security incident due to both random and independent information security events and a targeted attack on information resources are given.
Keywords: methodology; information security incident; information security event; system for detecting warning and eliminating the consequences of computer attacks.


DOI: 10.25791/asu.2.2020.1157

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Pp. 42-54.

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